The Timely Indicator of Private Consumption (IOCP) anticipated a 0.2% monthly increase in consumption for June 2026 and estimated a 2.5% annual growth rate , according to figures from the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) .
For July, the agency projected that the IOCP would not show changes on a monthly basis, reflecting a stagnation in Mexican household spending; while in its annual measurement it forecasts an increase of 2.2 percent.
For both months, the consumption index would be at 114.2 points , which could signify a trend of stability.
In June 2026, consumption showed signs of recovery in Mexican household spending as the economy also began to pick up.
In the second quarter of 2026 alone, Mexico’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 1.51%, after a contraction of 0.62% in the first quarter of the year, according to Grupo Financiero BASE .
Although consumption, which represents more than 70% of the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) , is expected to show positive behavior in June 2026, Mexicans continue to show caution when purchasing goods and services.
Given this scenario, some consumers have changed their habits, buying lower-cost products or store brands, even in hard discount stores .
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