Mexico’s economic activity is expected to rebound both monthly and annually in February 2026, driven by growth in services such as trade, transportation, and storage.
The Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE) , compiled by the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) , anticipated a slight monthly increase of 0.1% in Mexican economic activity during the period. On an annual basis, the IOAE also registered strong performance, with a rise of 1.2%.
By economic activity groups, an annual increase of 1.9% is expected in the tertiary sector (which includes services such as commerce, transport and storage, communications, education and health), and a decrease of 1.9% in the secondary sector (manufacturing and construction).
The estimates include 95% confidence intervals and correspond to seasonally adjusted figures, Inegi indicated.
On a monthly basis, the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE) is projected to grow by 0.1% . Tertiary activities are expected to increase by 0.2%, while secondary activities are projected to remain unchanged by February 2026.
According to KPMG , a consulting firm, Mexico is expected to have a mixed economic outlook , with opportunities in diversifying trade relationships, strengthening strategic logistics projects, and developing key industries such as manufacturing; however, a moderate slowdown with inflationary pressures is anticipated .
This stems from a global economy facing geopolitical risks and trade adjustments that create uncertainty for global growth.
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