As a result of improved performance in the trade and services sectors—which involve activities such as transportation and warehousing —Mexican economic activity is expected to rebound in July 2025.
The Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE) , prepared by the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) , anticipated an annual increase of 0.1% in Mexican economic activity in the seventh month of the year.
On the other hand, on a monthly basis , the indicator would have shown a negative figure, registering a decrease of 0.1% last July.
The annual rebound signals moderate economic expansion in Mexico , despite the economic restructuring brought about by the United States’ protectionist policies, coupled with a slowdown in inflation, which stood at 3.51% in July 2025 compared to its annual comparison.
According to the INEGI report, by economic activity group , a 1% annual decline is expected in secondary industries , which include manufacturing and construction.
In tertiary activities , which include services such as trade, transportation and storage, communications, education and health, an annual increase of 0.8% is estimated.
In its monthly measurement, a 0.1% decline is anticipated in the Global Economic Activity Indicator (IGAE) , as well as in secondary and tertiary activities for July of this year.
The IOAE is a statistical tool that allows for predicting the behavior of the IGAE, as well as secondary and tertiary activities, up to five weeks in advance, according to INEGI.
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