After analyzing the possible scenarios for the movement of goods to and from outside Mexico at the start of 2025, freight forwarders predict that the first three months of this year will be relatively normal, unless the United States applies a protectionist policy that “could shake up the Mexican export sector.”
“We cannot hide the fact that there is concern among all the actors involved in the country’s foreign trade about the news that will occur in the coming days and months that could impact Mexican foreign trade, in the face of which we must be resilient and consider the different scenarios from now on to seek the least possible impact,” said Juan Pablo Pacheco, president of the Mexican Association of Freight Agents (Amacarga) .
He also commented that despite the uncertain scenario for the country’s foreign trade due to the threats of the next president of the United States to impose tariffs on Mexico, at least in the first quarter of 2025 importers and exporters have backlogs of orders that will continue to be executed normally.
He explained that the same will happen with maritime transport rates, which do not show irregular impacts , beyond the typical effects of seasonality, as is the case of the beginning of the Chinese New Year, which alters the movement of goods worldwide due to a slowdown in activities in the Asian country.
As for the behavior of maritime transport, the organization considered that 2025 begins without surprises and, on the contrary, lower rates are perceived than in previous months.
Juan Pablo Pacheco said one of the risks for the movement to the United States was the possibility of a strike breaking out in some of the most important ports in the neighboring country to the north, but last week, the union and the maritime alliance reached a new contract for 25,000 workers in 14 ports from Texas to Boston, which dispels the risk of a strike on the American east coast.
However, he recalled that we are just a few days away from the start of the Chinese New Year , which impacts the global movement of ships and containers due to the paralysis of activities in that nation, which alters the sector at an international level and causes seasonal movements in rates.
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