The conflict in the Middle East impacted air cargo demand during March 2026, registering a 4.8% year-on-year drop , the International Air Transport Association (IATA) reported .
The agency detailed that capacity, measured in available cargo ton-kilometers (ACTK), also showed a negative trend, decreasing 4.7% year-on-year.
“This was primarily due to severe disruptions at major Gulf (Persian) hubs because of the war in the Middle East. The usual timing of the post-Lunar New Year slowdown also contributed to the decline. Importantly, air cargo networks are providing the necessary flexibility to support global supply chains as they adapt to geopolitical, tariff, and operational tensions. All eyes are on fuel supply and pricing, which are expected to test the industry’s resilience in the coming months,” said Willie Walsh, IATA’s Director General.
IATA indicated that Middle Eastern airlines experienced a 54.3% year-over-year decrease in air cargo demand in March 2026, the weakest performance of all regions. Capacity decreased 52.4% year-over-year.
“The Middle East was the determining factor in the industry’s performance. Cargo tonne-kilometers (CTK) contracted by 54.3% year-on-year, reflecting the sharpest decline among all major markets, as the conflict disrupted hub connectivity and reduced aircraft utilization,” Walsh emphasized.
The agency pointed out that jet fuel prices rose sharply in March , up to 106.6% year-on-year, along with a 43.1% increase in crude oil costs and a 320% increase in refining margins during the period.
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