Due to an advance in tertiary activities such as trade, and transport and storage, Mexico’s economic activity would have rebounded at an annual rate in March 2026, although it would have stagnated in its monthly measurement.

The  Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE) , compiled by the  National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) , anticipated a slight increase of 0.5% in Mexican economic activity in the third month of this year compared to March 2025. On a monthly basis, the IOAE remained unchanged.

By economic activity groups, an annual increase of 1.1% is expected in the tertiary sector (which includes services such as commerce, transport and storage, communications, education and health), and a decrease of 0.5% in the secondary sector (manufacturing and construction industry).

The estimates include 95% confidence intervals and correspond to seasonally adjusted figures, Inegi indicated.

On a monthly basis, the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE) is expected to show no change. A 0.1% increase is projected for secondary activities and a 0.1% decrease for tertiary activities by March 2026.

Although the Mexican economy is beginning to show signs of recovery, industry analysts estimate a still cautious outlook for 2026.

In that regard, BBVA Research projected a slight advance for the Mexican economy this year, derived from various factors such as an improvement in consumption and investment.

“We have revised our GDP growth forecast for 2026 upwards to 1.8% (from 1.2% previously), given the resilience of consumption and the recovery of investment. After a weak 2025, formal employment is beginning to improve,” he stated.

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El cargo Mexican economic activity shows mixed results in March apareció primero en T21.

Economic activity last November is believed to have fallen due to a decline in secondary activities, following the setback it also experienced in October 2025

The Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE) , prepared by the  National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) , anticipated a 0.2% monthly decline in Mexican economic activity in the penultimate month of 2025. On an annual basis, the IOAE would remain unchanged.

By economic activity groups, an annual decrease of 1.5% is expected in secondary activities (manufacturing and construction), and an increase of 0.8% in tertiary activities, which include services such as trade, transport and storage, communications, education and health.

On a monthly basis, a 0.2% decrease is anticipated in the  Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE) . A 0.3% decline is projected for secondary activities and a 0.1% decline for tertiary activities by November of this year.

According to estimates from the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) , the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) would barely grow 0.4% in 2025 , due to tariff uncertainty, weak domestic consumption and a drop in investment.

In presenting the  Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean 2025 , the organization also projected that  the Mexican economy could grow 1.3% in 2026 , due to factors such as greater trade certainty, as well as the possible ratification of the  United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA)  and the positive effects of the World Cup on tourism.

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El cargo Mexico’s economic activity declines in November apareció primero en T21.

As a result of improved performance in the trade and services sectors—which involve activities such as transportation and warehousing —Mexican economic activity is expected to rebound in July 2025.

The Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE) , prepared by the  National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) , anticipated an annual increase of 0.1%  in Mexican economic activity in the seventh month of the year.

On the other hand, on a monthly basis , the indicator would have shown a negative figure, registering a decrease of  0.1%  last July.

The annual rebound signals  moderate economic expansion in Mexico , despite the economic restructuring brought about by the United States’ protectionist policies, coupled with a slowdown in inflation, which stood at 3.51% in July 2025 compared to its annual comparison.

According to the INEGI report, by economic activity group , a 1% annual decline is expected in secondary industries , which include manufacturing and construction.

In  tertiary activities , which include services such as trade, transportation and storage, communications, education and health, an annual increase of 0.8% is estimated.

In its monthly measurement, a 0.1% decline is anticipated in the Global Economic Activity Indicator (IGAE) , as well as in secondary and tertiary activities for July of this year.

The IOAE is a statistical tool that allows for predicting the behavior of the IGAE, as well as secondary and tertiary activities, up to five weeks in advance, according to INEGI.

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El cargo Mexico’s economic activity advances in July: INEGI apareció primero en T21.