Mexican economic activity is expected to maintain annual growth in August 2026, although with moderate monthly progress, according to the Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE) of the  National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) .

For the eighth month of the year, the indicator anticipated an increase of just 0.1% monthly , as well as an annual increase of 2.5% .

By activity groups, secondary activities —which include manufacturing, construction, mining and energy generation— would register an annual growth of 2.7%, while tertiary activities , which include trade and various services such as commerce, transport and storage, would advance 2.6 percent.

In its monthly comparison, secondary activities would show an increase of 0.2% in the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE), while tertiary activities would rise 0.1 percent.

Moderation in pace

The August data points to an expansion that maintains a positive pace, but without showing significant acceleration in the short term.

The annual growth contrasts with the monthly advance, a combination that suggests that much of the performance is explained by the comparison with the previous year and not necessarily by a strong expansion between July and August.

For production and logistics chains, the performance of secondary and tertiary activities is relevant due to their connection with manufacturing, trade, transportation, and warehousing. In particular, warehousing and storage are part of the tertiary sector, and their evolution is linked to the movement of goods and the demand for services associated with economic activity.

According to INEGI, the IOAE allows for anticipating the behavior of the IGAE up to five weeks before its official publication. The indicator uses econometric models and various economic and financial series that are updated more frequently.

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El cargo Mexican economic activity expected to advance in August apareció primero en T21.

As a result of improved performance in the services sector —which includes activities such as transportation and storage—, Mexican economic activity would have grown in July 2026.

The Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE), prepared by the  National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) , anticipated an  annual increase of 2.7%  in Mexican economic activity in the seventh month of the year.

In its monthly measurement, the indicator would also have shown a positive figure, registering an increase of 0.1%  last July.

This rebound signals a  moderate economic expansion in Mexico , coupled with a slowdown in inflation, which in July 2026 stood at 3.12% compared to its annual comparison.

According to the Inegi report, by economic activity groups, an annual increase of 1.8% is expected in  secondary activities —manufacturing and construction—.

In  tertiary activities , which include services such as commerce, transport and storage, communications, education and health, an increase of 2.8% per year is estimated.

By July 2026, the IOAE projected an annual growth of 2.7% in the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE) .

On a monthly basis, the IGAE, as well as secondary and tertiary activities, are expected to register an increase of 0.1% by July 2026.

The IOAE estimate for the seventh month of the year shows a positive performance of secondary and tertiary activities in Mexico, both on a monthly and annual basis, which, if it materializes, would mean a respite for the Mexican economy, since it would begin the third quarter of the year with slight growth.

The IOAE is a statistical tool that allows anticipating the behavior of the IGAE, as well as secondary and tertiary activities, up to five weeks in advance, according to Inegi.

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El cargo Mexican economic activity is expected to grow in July apareció primero en T21.

Due to improved year-on-year performance in the services sector —which includes activities such as transportation and storage— , the Mexican economy would have rebounded in May 2026.

The Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE), prepared by the  National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) , anticipated a  1.1% year-on-year increase in the country’s economic activity during the fifth month of the year. On a  monthly basis , the indicator would have remained unchanged.

The year-on-year increase signals  moderate economic expansion in Mexico , despite ongoing global trade fluctuations and geopolitical conflicts such as those in the Middle East. However, caution remains.

According to the Inegi report,  by economic activity groups , an annual increase of 0.7% is expected in  secondary activities , which include the manufacturing and construction industries.

In the  tertiary sector , which includes services such as commerce, transportation and storage, communications, education, and healthcare, an annual increase of 1.7% is projected. Furthermore, a 1.1% increase in the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE) is anticipated, also on an annual basis.

In its monthly measurement, the IGAE and tertiary activities are expected to show no variation; while a decrease in secondary activities of 0.2% is estimated for May 2026.

According to Inegi, the IOAE is a statistical tool that allows anticipating the behavior of the IGAE, as well as secondary and tertiary activities, up to five weeks in advance.

Its measurement is important, as it allows for a preliminary view of economic behavior in order to make informed decisions for better planning in this area.

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El cargo Mexican economic activity is expected to grow slightly year-on-year in May; monthly growth stagnates apareció primero en T21.

Mexican economic activity is expected to have shown positive performance in both its monthly and annual measurements in April 2026, according to the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) .

According to the Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE), the country’s economic activity grew by 0.3% in the fourth month of the year compared to March. The IOAE estimated an annual increase of 0.3%.

By economic activity groups, an annual decrease of 1% is expected by April 2026 in secondary activities (manufacturing and construction), and an increase of 0.7% in tertiary activities (trade, transport and storage, communications, education and health).

According to Inegi, the Timely Indicator of Economic Activity allows for timely econometric estimates on the evolution of the IGAE, as well as secondary and tertiary activities.

On a monthly basis, a 0.3% increase is anticipated in the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE). A 0.3% increase is projected for secondary activities and a 0.3% increase for tertiary activities in April of this year.

According to estimates from Grupo Financiero BASE , Mexico could have an economic growth of just 1% in 2026 , reflecting a sluggish economic environment.

According to CIAL Dun & Bradstreet , the Mexican economy needs to strengthen investment and productivity to counteract industrial fragility and take advantage of international trade opportunities.

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El cargo Mexico’s economy is expected to grow in April apareció primero en T21.

Mexico’s economic activity is expected to rebound both monthly and annually in February 2026, driven by growth in services such as trade, transportation, and storage.

The  Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE) , compiled by the  National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) , anticipated a slight monthly increase of 0.1% in Mexican economic activity during the period. On an annual basis, the IOAE also registered strong performance, with a rise of 1.2%.

By economic activity groups, an annual increase of 1.9% is expected in the tertiary sector (which includes services such as commerce, transport and storage, communications, education and health), and a decrease of 1.9% in the secondary sector (manufacturing and construction).

The estimates include 95% confidence intervals and correspond to seasonally adjusted figures, Inegi indicated.

On a monthly basis, the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE) is projected to grow by 0.1% . Tertiary activities are expected to increase by 0.2%, while secondary activities are projected to remain unchanged by February 2026.

According to KPMG , a consulting firm, Mexico is expected to have a mixed economic outlook , with opportunities in diversifying trade relationships, strengthening strategic logistics projects, and developing key industries such as manufacturing; however, a moderate slowdown with inflationary pressures is anticipated .

This stems from a global economy facing geopolitical risks and trade adjustments that create uncertainty for global growth.

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El cargo Mexico’s economic activity is expected to rebound in February apareció primero en T21.

After closing 2025 with a decline, the Mexican manufacturing industry would have rebounded in January 2026 , according to the Monthly Indicator of Manufacturing Activity (IMOAM), prepared by the  National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) .

In the first month of the year, the agency anticipated a slight  increase in manufacturing activity of 0.1%  compared to the same month in 2025.

In January 2026, the indicator showed a value of  104 points , as an advance calculation of the Monthly Indicator of Industrial Activity (IMAI) of the manufacturing sector.

This result reflects that, amidst the tariff policy promoted by the United States, the Mexican manufacturing industry continues to show resilience in the face of global trade changes.

Economic activity advances

Meanwhile, the Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE) anticipated an annual increase of 2.3% in the Mexican economy in January 2026 , driven by the manufacturing industry and the services sector.

In its monthly measurement, the IOAE would also have shown a positive figure, registering an  increase of 0.3%  in the first month of the year.

By economic activity groups , an annual increase of 2.1% is expected in secondary activities – which include manufacturing and construction – and 2.2% in tertiary activities , which include services such as trade, transport and storage, communications, education and health.

On a monthly basis, the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE) is projected to grow by 0.3% . Secondary activities are expected to increase by 0.4%, and tertiary activities by 0.3% in January 2026.

According to  KPMG , a consulting firm, Mexico is expected to have a mixed economic outlook this year, with opportunities in diversifying trade relationships, strengthening strategic logistics projects, and developing key industries such as manufacturing.

However, he indicated that a moderate slowdown with inflationary pressures is anticipated, “so it will be necessary to monitor the capacity of regional development to boost investment and productivity.”

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El cargo This is how the manufacturing industry and economic activity in Mexico will begin in 2026 apareció primero en T21.

Due to zero growth in the manufacturing sector, Mexican economic activity would have stagnated in October 2025, following the decline observed last September.

The  Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE) , prepared by the  National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) , anticipated that there were no changes in Mexican economic activity in the tenth month of the year, both on a monthly and annual basis.

By economic activity groups , an annual decrease of 2.1% is expected in secondary activities – made up of manufacturing and construction – and an increase of 0.9% in tertiary activities, which include services such as trade, transport and storage, communications, education and health.

In its monthly measurement, the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE) also remains unchanged. A 0.1% increase is projected for secondary activities, while a 0.2% decrease is expected for tertiary activities in October of this year.

The stagnation of the Mexican economy in October occurred in a context of constant tariff changes worldwide; however, projections from international organizations, such as the World Bank , have improved the growth estimate for Mexico.

According to the organization’s forecasts, the Mexican economy would grow by 0.5% in 2025, driven by domestic consumption.

“The IOAE is a statistical tool that allows us to anticipate the behavior of the IGAE, as well as secondary and tertiary activities, up to five weeks in advance,” according to Inegi.

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El cargo Mexican economic activity unchanged in October apareció primero en T21.

In September 2025, the  Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE) , prepared by the  National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) , anticipated an annual decline of 0.6% in the Mexican economy , resulting from a slowdown in secondary activities, such as manufacturing.

“The IOAE provides timely econometric estimates of the evolution of the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE), as well as secondary and tertiary activities,” INEGI explained.

In its monthly measurement, the IOAE would have shown a positive figure, registering an increase of 0.1%  in the ninth month of the year .

By economic activity group , a 3% annual decline is expected  in secondary industries , which include manufacturing and construction.

In  tertiary activities , which include services such as trade,  transportation and storage , communications, education and health, an  annual growth of 0.8% is estimated .

Inegi also anticipated an annual decrease of 0.6% in the IGAE for September .

On a monthly basis, a 0.1% increase was projected in the IGAE , as well as in secondary and tertiary activities for the reference month.

The decline in the country’s economic activity last September shows signs of a contraction in the performance of key sectors such as manufacturing, which has been affected by a drop in external demand amid an aggressive tariff policy.

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El cargo Amid tariffs, Mexican economic activity weakens in September apareció primero en T21.

Due to improved performance in the service and trade sectors, and after a decline last March, Mexican economic activity showed a rebound of 0.7% in April 2025 at an annual rate, anticipated the Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE) , published this Monday by the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) .

According to the report, the IOAE showed no monthly changes in the fourth month of the year.

By economic activity group, an annual decline of 0.8% is expected in secondary industries, which include manufacturing and construction,   in the aforementioned month.

In tertiary activities , which include services such as commerce, transportation and communications, education and health, an annual increase of 1.5% is expected.

On a monthly basis, no changes are expected in the  Global Economic Activity Indicator (GEI)  for secondary activities; tertiary activities are expected to decline by  0.1%  for April of this year.

The upward trend in economic activity in April follows declines in February and March 2025, after a positive start to the year with a slight increase of 1.8% at an annual rate last January.

The April IOAE figures come at a time when the National Consumer Price Index (INPC) stood at 3.93% annually in the fourth month of 2025, marking a third consecutive month of inflation in Mexico.

They also occur during a period of uncertainty caused by a US-led tariff policy that has spread throughout the world, pending what will happen after a 90-day truce.

According to INEGI, the IOAE provides timely econometric estimates of the evolution of the Global Economic Activity Indicator, as well as secondary and tertiary activities.

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El cargo Services and trade drive growth in Mexican economic activity in April apareció primero en T21.

According to the INEGI report, the monthly IOAE showed no changes in the third month of the year.

Meanwhile, by economic activity group, an annual decline of 0.3% is expected in secondary industries , which include manufacturing and construction,  in the aforementioned month.

 On the other hand, tertiary activities , which include services such as commerce, transportation and communications, education and health,  are expected to increase by 0.3% annually over the same period.

On a monthly basis, no changes are expected in the  Global Economic Activity Indicator (GEI) for secondary activities; tertiary activities are expected to decline by 0.1% for March of this year.

According to the aforementioned data, economic activity declined in March, which would represent the second decline so far this year, as it also declined in February from the increase seen in January.

These figures come at a time when headline inflation rose for the second consecutive month last March, reaching  3.8% annually, following the increase seen in February, when it reached 3.7%  annually.

It is worth remembering that on March 27, the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) lowered the interest rate to 9% , which was its sixth consecutive cut and the second of  50 basis points , in an environment of uncertainty caused by the United States tariff plan, which was paused for 90 days, although China did not enter this grace period.

The country’s economic activity faces various risks associated with inflation, which could weaken domestic consumption and cause a slowdown in the construction sector, according to the Monex Financial Group .

The IOAE provides timely econometric estimates of the evolution of the Global Economic Activity Indicator, as well as secondary and tertiary activities, according to INEGI.

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El cargo Mexico’s economic activity declines in March apareció primero en T21.