After starting 2026 with a 0.2-point drop on a monthly basis, Mexican business confidence showed a rebound of 0.7 units compared to last January, as announced this Monday by the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) .

According to figures obtained from the Monthly Business Opinion Survey (EMOE), the Global Business Confidence Opinion Indicator (IGOEC), which stood at  48.8 points in the second month of 2026, fell 1.3 units in its annual measurement .

“With this latest observation, the indicator has now remained below the 50-point threshold for 12 consecutive months,” Inegi stated.

In February 2026, three of the four industries in the Business Confidence Indicator (BCI) registered increases , with commerce showing the largest increase in the period, rising 1.6 points compared to January, reaching a level of 48.8. Within this sector, the appropriate time to invest was the component with the largest increase, rising 4.4 points on a monthly basis.

The Construction Economic Index (ICE ) was 46.5 points in the reference month, representing a 1-point increase compared to the previous month. With this figure, the indicator has remained below the 50-point threshold for 18 consecutive months.

In the second month of the year, private non-financial services rose 0.6 units compared to January 2026, reaching 49.5 points, with the right time to invest with a growth of 1.5 units.

Manufacturing industries recorded an ICE of 48.1 points in February of this year, a decrease of 0.2 units compared to the first month of 2026. The component with the greatest decline was the appropriate time to invest, with a decrease of 0.8 points compared to January 2026.

Although the IGOEC registered growth in three of its components, in the trade, construction and non-financial private services sectors, these indicators remained below 50 units, reflecting pessimism in the confidence of businesspeople in the period in the face of a challenging global economic environment.

Understanding the level of trust among business leaders influences the perception of a company’s integrity and ability to meet its objectives, as well as investment decisions. A high level of trust translates into greater financial benefits and a stronger market position.

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According to figures obtained from the  Monthly Business Opinion Survey (EMOE) , this weighting represented a drop of  0.8 points  in relation to September 2025 and  3.4 units  in its annual comparison.

“With this latest observation, the indicator has now remained below the 50-point threshold for eight consecutive months,” Inegi explained.

Meanwhile,  construction  fell 0.6 points  in its monthly comparison; the component that showed the greatest progress was that related to the  current economic situation of the company  with an increase of  0.6 units .

Meanwhile, the  retail sector  confidence indicator fell  0.3 points  in October compared to September 2025, reaching  47.9 units . The largest decline was related to  the company’s future economic outlook,  with a decrease of  1.2 units .

The private non-financial services confidence indicator   fell  1.3 points in October 2025 compared to the previous month and settled at 49.2 points ; the  right time to invest  was the component with the largest decline, falling  4.1 units  during the period.

Last October, the IGOEC registered a decline in all four of its components: manufacturing, construction, trade, and private non-financial services.

Therefore, this indicator did not reach 50 units, reflecting pessimism in business confidence during the period in the face of a challenging global economic environment.

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