With the purpose of facilitating investment and providing greater certainty to national and foreign projects, through the participation of various federal agencies and representatives of the business sector, the Mexican government presented the “Mexico Plan: Actions to facilitate and provide certainty to investment” .

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum detailed the benefits that the simplification will bring to investment, which will give authorization for projects in a maximum of 90 days with a single Foreign Trade Window.

At the event, the Mexican president signed a decree to facilitate investment within the framework of the Mexico Plan, which includes various actions to promote foreign capital in the country and simplify procedures.

In his remarks, Marcelo Ebrard, head of the Ministry of Economy (SE) , explained that the main objective is to present immediate actions to support investment in the country. He noted that Sheinbaum held meetings with various business representatives to gather proposals aimed at accelerating economic growth and job creation.

“As a result, he has led a very detailed analysis, area by area of ​​government; practically the entire federal government is present here, and the state governments through the Secretariats of Economic Development, to determine what needs to be done, what can be done in the short term,” he added.

He pointed out that these are immediate actions for investment , which have to do with various instances, with foreign trade activities, customs, trade facilitation, and “of course everything that has to do with national purchases, everything that has to do with facilitating investment in public and private projects.”

Meanwhile, Édgar Amador Zamora, head of the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit (SHCP) , announced the publication of the agreement to promote productive investment and tax compliance, to boost economic growth and provide greater certainty to taxpayers.

Among other things, the agreement seeks to strengthen legal certainty , improve administrative efficiency, and promote a better environment for productive investment. Among the measures, it establishes that the tax authority will observe and promote compliance with international treaties and current regulations to avoid double taxation, thereby providing greater clarity to the operations of domestic and foreign companies.

Jorge Mendoza Sánchez, general director of the National  Bank  of  Public  Works  and  Services  (Banobras) , said that an investment in highways of more than 523 billion pesos (mdp) is planned , through 44 projects that will generate around 1.4 million jobs.

He indicated that the scheme combines public resources of approximately 230 billion pesos and private participation of almost 295 billion pesos, with the purpose of reducing logistics costs and strengthening regional connectivity .

In turn, Luz Elena González, head of the Ministry of Energy (Sener) , stated that the Mexico Plan seeks to accelerate the country’s energy transition  , aiming to increase the share of renewable energy from 24% to 38%.

Meanwhile, José Antonio Peña Merino, head of the Digital Transformation and Telecommunications Agency , explained that among the actions to encourage investment projects in the country is the creation of the Presidential Office for Investment Promotion and its Investment Committee, whose functions will be to advise and assist in the necessary steps for the development of the plan.

In that regard, he detailed a decree that will allow for the authorization of investment projects within a maximum of 30 days, provided they meet certain criteria. He also indicated that a maximum period of 90 days has been set for resolving other federal procedures.

He also announced that a single window for foreign trade procedures is being enabled, which will centralize the processes of the Ministry of Economy, the Tax Administration Service (SAT) and customs, avoiding duplication of requirements and allowing tracking of permits and resolutions.

The head of the Federal  Commission  for  Protection  against  Sanitary  Risks  (Cofepris) , Víctor Hugo Borja, pointed out that with the signing of two agreements ,  the simplification of 100% of the agency’s procedures is completed, reducing processes, requirements and resolution times, going from 340 to 125 procedures and from 100 to 24 days on average.

With these actions, the Mexican government seeks to consolidate the country as an investment destination, strengthening the public-private relationship, reducing red tape, and promoting more agile economic development.

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El cargo They present actions to facilitate investments within the framework of the Mexico Plan apareció primero en T21.

Mexico could have an economic growth of 1% in 2026 , which would mean a decrease from the 1.2% proposed by Grupo Financiero BASE in a previous review, as explained by Gabriela Siller, director of Economic Analysis of this institution.

In the webinar “Economic Outlook, GDP Estimate for the First Quarter of 2026” , the specialist considered that, in a pessimistic scenario, the country’s economic growth would be 0.60%, and in an optimistic environment it would advance 1.45%, derived from various factors, including the economic spillover from the World Cup.

The decline in the three groups of economic activities – primary, secondary and tertiary – which contributed to the 0.8% quarterly decrease in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the first quarter of 2026 (1Q26) gives signs of what he called a “stagnation trap” , caused by the weakening of institutions, increased informality, a drop in fixed investment and a decline in productivity.

“The quarterly drop in GDP was indeed sharp, and although we expect a rebound in the second quarter, this would be largely due to the World Cup, which we believe will add 0.15 percentage points to GDP through tourism and additional consumption,” he explained.

The analyst considered that the low growth of the Mexican economy is not a temporary situation, but a structural one , which is reflected in a high rate of informality in employment that, as of last March, stood at 54.85 percent.

Regarding private consumption , which is one of the indicators of GDP, Siller explained that in 2025 this sector closed with an increase of 1.20%, the lowest since 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. “This year consumption started off on the wrong foot, with a drop of 1.55% compared to December 2025.”

By 2026, the financial institution forecasts that private consumption will grow between 1.8% and 2.2% , driven by the World Cup and a greater number of tourists arriving in Mexico for the sporting event.

Gross fixed investment ( machinery and equipment for the production of goods and services) also declined at the start of 2026. According to figures presented by Siller, this indicator fell 14% compared to 2024, when it reached its historical peak. He noted that in 2025, gross fixed investment decreased by 6.5%, and the projection for 2026 is a further decline of 2%.

“There weren’t two consecutive years with declines, something we hadn’t seen since 2019, when Mexico was in a slight recession, and 2020 due to the pandemic,” he emphasized.

Regarding Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Mexico, he noted that although historical high levels have been reached, it should be considered that a large percentage has been for reinvestment.

At the close of 2025, Mexico received $40.871 billion in FDI, which represented a growth of 10.8% compared to the FDI received in 2024, when it was $36.872 billion, according to figures from the Ministry of Economy .

According to Siller, 67.65% of FDI in 2025 was for reinvestment of profits , 14.30% intercompany accounts , and 18.05% was for new investments .

Regarding the review of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) , the specialist said that, although there is a lot of uncertainty, “I think that in the end it will not end badly, unless there are political issues that stop this trade relationship.”

On another topic, he specified that since last year, computer equipment has been Mexico’s top export. “If this product hadn’t grown so much last year, at a rate of 144%, Mexican exports would have fallen by 0.54 percent.”

“But there are several risks. Computer equipment is not a long-term guarantee. To begin with, Mexico is not the main supplier of this product to the United States; that distinction belongs to Taiwan. In fact, for many months we were the main supplier, but Taiwan has now overtaken us. Taiwan accounts for 45% of total U.S. imports of this product, while Mexico accounts for 31%,” he stated.

According to the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) , Mexican exports totaled 70 billion 727 million dollars (mdd) in March 2026 , a growth of 27.7% compared to the same month of 2025.

Regarding inflation, he estimated that it will close this year at 4.2 percent . “Inflation was already expected last year. The truth is that Mexico was fortunate with the reduction in non-core inflation, because we know that non-core inflation is very volatile; even more so if we add factors such as public insecurity in Mexico, which has reduced fruit and vegetable harvests, increasing their price. On the other hand, the increase in energy prices due to the war in Iran is also a latent threat; this has caused consumer inflation to rise in Mexico,” he emphasized.

It is worth remembering that inflation in Mexico stood at 4.59% at an annual rate in March 2026 , driven by a rise in agricultural products and services such as air transport, according to data from Inegi.

According to Banco BASE’s estimates, the Mexican economic outlook is not encouraging, although there are indicators showing a slow recovery that could improve the situation in the second quarter of the year.

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El cargo Banco BASE remains cautious regarding Mexico’s GDP growth outlook apareció primero en T21.

The Mexican economy could grow by 1.5% in 2026 , the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) estimated , due to tensions in the global environment and the application of current restrictive financial conditions.

This projection represents an increase if one considers that the country’s real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2025 was 0.8% compared to 2024, according to data from the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) .

In its report, ECLAC adjusted its regional growth projection to 2.2% for 2026 , a decrease from the 2.3% estimated by the organization in December of last year. The report indicated that the contraction reflects current global tensions, such as the conflict in the Middle East and tariff policies.

“The deterioration of the external environment is one of the main factors behind the downward revision of regional growth projections,” he said.

According to the organization’s data, growth is projected to slow in 24 of the region’s 33 countries in 2026, while only seven are expected to show an increase. This would mark four consecutive years of projected growth close to 2.3% for the region, “demonstrating a pattern of weak growth potential.”

At the subregional level, South America would grow 2.4% in 2026 , below the 2.9% achieved in 2025, “reflecting a slowdown in most of the economies of the subregion,” according to the most recent projections of ECLAC.

Central America is projected to grow its economy by 2.2% this year , a slight contraction compared to the 2.3% growth forecast for 2025, influenced by anticipated contractions in Cuba and Haiti.  The English- and Dutch-speaking Caribbean is projected to grow by 5.6% , a slight increase from the 5.5% forecast for 2025, driven by projected economic activity in Guyana.

The conflict in the Middle East and geopolitical tensions increased volatility in commodity and financial markets. The price of oil during the first three weeks of April exceeded the average price recorded in December 2015 by 74% , raising production and transportation costs globally, according to the technical report.

ECLAC noted that the World Trade Organization (WTO) projected a 2.7% increase in the volume of trade in goods and services in 2026. This figure contrasts with the 4.7% growth achieved in 2025, indicating a slowdown in the dynamism of global international trade. Meanwhile, central banks are maintaining cautious stances in the face of renewed pressure on consumer price indices.

Regional private consumption is showing less dynamism, while investment is showing signs of a recovery, albeit at moderate levels. Employment growth in the region’s economies is estimated at 1.1% in 2026, compared to 1.5% in 2025 .

Meanwhile, median inflation would be above 3%, due to the rise in imported inputs and logistics expenses, compared to 2.4% last year.

According to the United Nations regional economic commission, risks persist linked to the volatility of international markets and the weakness of domestic demand in countries; in addition to structural factors and constraints of space in public policies that affect the performance in various economies of the region analyzed.

Given this scenario, ECLAC emphasized the need to expand the mobilization of internal and external resources , and to strengthen governance to promote policies that boost investment, increase productivity and strengthen macroeconomic resilience, in a global environment where uncertainty prevails.

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El cargo ECLAC projects Mexican GDP growth in 2026; global tensions hold back Latin America apareció primero en T21.

The start of 2026 places the Mexican economy at a defining moment rather than a breaking point . After closing 2025 amidst a slowdown, business caution, and financial adjustments, the new cycle begins without signs of crisis, but neither does it offer sufficient impetus to speak of a genuine recovery. The year is shaping up to be a period of transition, in which decisions—and omissions—regarding investment, foreign trade, and economic policy will carry more weight than the economic cycles themselves. 

The scenario does not anticipate a recession, but rather limited growth, contingent on internal and external factors that keep the economy in a state of controlled fragility. Decisions regarding investment, foreign trade, and economic policy will be key in determining whether the year translates into a gradual recovery or a prolonged period of sluggish growth, according to experts consulted by T21. 

In terms of consensus, the diagnosis is clear: the economy will grow below its potential . After an estimated growth of just 0.5% in 2025, growth of between 1.5% and 1.6% is projected for 2026, driven mainly by lower real interest rates and a moderate improvement in consumption, according to John Soldevilla, CEO of  Ecobi Economy, Business & Indicators . 

This limited growth, however, is not neutral for the productive sectors . In particular, for freight transport and logistics, it means operating in an environment of contained demand, but it also opens up opportunities to gain efficiency, redesign routes, strengthen intermodality, and capitalize on specific niches linked to foreign trade and domestic consumption. 

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El cargo 2026: Between economic caution and logistical opportunity apareció primero en T21.

Rising trade tensions and greater global uncertainty stemming from political conditions have worsened the global economy, which is facing significant challenges, the World Bank (WB) said , which in this context revised downwards its growth forecast for Mexico for 2025, from 1.3% to just 0.2 percent .

According to its Global Economic Outlook report, the international organization forecasts Mexican economic growth of 1.1% in 2026.

In the report, the World Bank indicated that this decrease will be due to the fact that exports to the United States, which represent 80% of total shipments of goods abroad, will be affected by the tariffs promoted by Donald Trump , President of the United States, amid persistent uncertainty regarding investment and trade policies.

“Additional trade restrictions under a revised United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) could further reduce Mexico’s exports,” the agency added.

According to the report, Mexico, the second-largest economy in Latin America and the Caribbean, has been the hardest hit by the 25% tariffs on non-USMCA imports to the United States.

“All other countries in the region face a 10% tariff on exports to the United States, excluding energy products,” he stressed.

Regarding its outlook for Latin America and the Caribbean , the World Bank estimated that its growth will remain stable “at 2.3% in 2025 and 2.4% in 2026 as growth weakens in most economies, except for Argentina, Colombia, Ecuador and the Caribbean.”

The forecast implied a downward revision of the region’s growth by 0.2 percentage points , with more than half of the region’s economies set to register a downgrade relative to previous projections.

“Emerging market and developing economies have reaped the benefits of trade integration, but now find themselves on the front lines of a global trade conflict,” said M. Ayhan Kose, World Bank Deputy Chief Economist and Director of the Prospects Group.

Regarding global growth, he projected it will be just 2.3% in 2025, driven by rising tariffs and greater uncertainty for nearly all the world’s economies.

Given this scenario, the organization noted that the  global economy  will experience its weakest average growth since the 1960s in the 2020s.

“A global recession is not expected, but if the forecasts for the next two years materialize, average global growth in the first seven years of the 2020s will be the slowest of any decade since the 1960s,” the analysis emphasized.

The report also highlighted that rising trade tensions and regulatory uncertainty are expected to lead to global growth posting its slowest pace this year since 2008.

The World Bank’s forecast for the largest economies is 1.2% this year and 1.4% by 2026.

In Europe and Central Asia, growth is expected to slow to 2.4% in 2025 before rising to 2.6% in 2026-2027. In the Middle East and North Africa , the World Bank projected growth to 2.7% in 2025 and strengthen to an average of 3.9% in 2026-2027.

Among other data, the organization projected that growth in East Asia and the Pacific will slow to 4.5% in 2025 and 4% in 2026.

Given the current uncertain environment, the World Bank suggested that to accelerate economic growth, countries will need to improve the business climate and promote productive employment, equipping workers with the necessary skills and creating the conditions for labor markets to effectively adjust to employees and businesses.

“Global collaboration will be crucial to support the most vulnerable developing economies, including through multilateral interventions, concessional financing, and, for countries experiencing active conflict, emergency relief and support,” he stressed.

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El cargo The World Bank predicts low economic growth in Mexico; it adjusts its global projections. apareció primero en T21.

The Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) announced on Tuesday its new growth estimates for this year for the region, where it noted a reduction from 2.4%, projected by the end of 2024, to 2 percent .

Under the new projections, Mexico and Central America will be among the regions hardest hit in terms of growth this year, dropping from 1.8 percent to just 1.0 percent . Another region where growth slowed was the Caribbean, which went from a projected growth of 2.3 percent to 1.8 percent .

According to ECLAC, the region is facing a highly uncertain international scenario due to the tariffs imposed by the United States, which have not only directly affected the region’s exports but have also caused greater volatility in international financial markets .

Furthermore, the so-called trade war  has increased the risk of serious disruptions in global production chains and international trade flows, leading to a downward revision of global growth prospects .

Finally, ECLAC noted that if the region wants to boost its growth, it requires a combination of macroeconomic and productive development policies, increasing investment in physical and human capital. Therefore, the region must not only invest more, but also invest better .

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El cargo ECLAC cuts economic growth for Latin America apareció primero en T21.

Due to a complicated external environment, driven by various factors such as the escalation of U.S. tariffs on imported products, the World Bank (WB) lowered its economic growth forecast for Mexico from 1.5% to 0% for this year.

In its Economic Report for Latin America and the Caribbean , the institution estimated that the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will grow by 1.1% in 2026 and 1.8% in 2027.

The United States’ tariff policy, which has led to a tariff war, will also affect the relocation of production lines in Mexico ( nearshoring ), the World Bank predicted in its report.

“The apparent U.S. shift toward higher tariffs casts uncertainty over the nearshoring project , the practice of moving overseas operations to nearby or friendly countries, and access to global markets in general,” the report emphasized.

It is worth remembering that on April 2, Donald Trump , President of the United States, announced a series of reciprocal tariffs that would be applied to products entering the United States from several countries; however, on April 9, the American president paused the tariffs for 90 days .

Although Mexico is not currently subject to this measure, its northern neighbor does charge the country 25% tariffs on vehicles imported from Mexico, as well as a similar rate on steel and aluminum.

The World Bank indicated that in 2024, Latin America was one of the regions with the lowest growth in the world, “reflecting the continued convergence of potential output in Mexico and the adjustment process in Argentina.”

In Mexico, public investment contributed to the expansion of aggregate investment and output growth during 2023, but as it lost momentum during 2024, this stimulus weakened, he noted.

Despite the downward projection for the Mexican economy, the World Bank highlighted that the country accelerated poverty reduction , largely due to the improved labor market.

In the case of Latin America and the Caribbean , the report forecasts  growth of 2.1% this year and 2.4% in 2026, making it the region with the lowest growth globally, due to  low investment , high debt and a changing external environment, which represents an obstacle to the development of the area.

The World Bank’s forecasts echo those of the  International Monetary Fund (IMF) , which estimated a 0.3% contraction  in Mexico’s GDP, which could lead to a recession this year.

In its  World Economic Outlook report , the IMF said Mexico will be one of the nations hardest hit by the impact of Trump’s tariffs.

In response, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum  has questioned the economic forecasts of the World Bank and the IMF, pointing out that their models do not take into account the impact of  Plan Mexico or recent investments.

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El cargo World Bank warns of Mexican economic stagnation due to Trump’s policies apareció primero en T21.

The World Bank (WB) estimated that Mexico will have an economic growth of just 1.5% for 2025 and 1.6% for the following year, limited by the application of a restrictive monetary policy and fiscal consolidation , so it estimated that developing economies, which drive 60% of global growth, will end the first quarter of the 21st century with the weakest long-term growth prospects since 2000.

The organization revealed this in its World Economic Outlook report , in which it predicts that the global economy will grow by 2.7% in both 2025 and 2026, at the same pace as the previous year.

The World Bank said that growth in developing economies is also expected to remain stable at around 4% over the next two years. “However, this would be a weaker performance than before the pandemic, and insufficient to foster the progress needed to alleviate poverty and achieve broader development goals,” it stressed.

He said that even if the global economy stabilises over the next two years, developing economies are expected to move more slowly to catch up with the income levels of advanced economies.

The Washington-based organization said that the performance of developing economies would be weaker than before the COVID-19 pandemic, and insufficient to promote the progress needed to alleviate poverty and achieve broader development goals.

“The next 25 years will be more difficult for developing economies than the last 25,” said Indermit Gill , chief economist and senior vice president for development economics at the World Bank Group .

The World Bank noted that global economic integration “faltered,” resulting in overall economic growth falling from 5.9% in the 2000s to 5.1% in the 2010s and 3.5% in the 2020s.

According to the analysis, developing economies are now more important to the global economy than they were at the beginning of the century, accounting for around 45% of global GDP , up from 25% in 2000.

These economies have also become a major source of global capital flows, remittances and development assistance to other peer economies, accounting for 40% of global remittances between 2019 and 2023, up from 30% in the first decade of the century.

“In a world marked by political uncertainty and trade tensions, developing economies will need bold and far-reaching policies to seize untapped opportunities for cross-border cooperation,” said M. Ayhan Kose , World Bank Deputy Chief Economist and Director of the World Bank’s Prospects Group.

The report said that  foreign direct investment (FDI) flows to developing economies are about half of what they were in the early 2000s.

He also stressed that new restrictions on global trade have had an influence , which in 2024 were five times higher than the average for 2010-2019.

Regarding the arrival of Donald Trump to the presidency of the United States, the World Bank maintained an “ambiguous” position, although it admitted that the magnitude of the possible changes in the  country’s trade and fiscal policies  is not clear, stressing that a 10 percentage point increase in  tariffs applied to its trading partners could reduce global growth this year by 0.2 points.

He said that the “good performance” of major powers such as the United States and China will be key to the proper performance of developing economies in the future.

Among the regional forecasts, the organization indicated that in Latin America and the Caribbean, growth is expected to increase to 2.5% in 2025 and 2.6% in 2026, while in East Asia and the Pacific, growth is estimated to slow to 4.6% in 2025 and 4.1% in 2026.

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El cargo World Bank Forecasts Moderate Economic Growth for Mexico apareció primero en T21.

The  National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI)  anticipated a 1.1% increase in the country’s economic activity at an annual rate in August 2024 , according to the Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE), which would reflect a slight increase specifically in services and commerce.

According to the report, within economic activities, a 0.7% increase is expected in secondary activities , which includes manufacturing and construction.

Meanwhile,  tertiary activities , which include services such as commerce, transportation and communications, education and health, are expected to increase by 1.5% for August of this year.

For the eighth month of the year, the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE), as well as secondary activities, are estimated to grow 0.3% , compared to July.

These projections come after Inegi reported inflation of 4.99% last August.

Meanwhile, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the second quarter of 2024 in Mexico registered a growth of 0.2% , compared to the first three months of the year. Analysts and financial institutions do not perceive a favorable outlook for GDP, so they have reduced their  growth forecasts to between 1.5 and 2.3% for this year.

In addition, on September 18, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the United States Federal Reserve cut the funding rate by 50 basis points (bp), which will place the rate between 4.75 and 5.00 points.https://www.inegi.org.mx/default.html

For various analysts in the sector, the Fed’s decision sends a message about the direction the economy is heading, which could affect our country due to the close trade relationship we have with our northern neighbor.

In her X account, Gabriela Siller, Director of Economic Analysis at  Grupo Financiero BASE shared that the last two times the Fed cut its rate by 50 bp, a period of recession in the United States followed, which occurred on September 18, 2007 and January 3, 2001 .

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El cargo Economic Activity Sees Slight Recovery in August: Inegi apareció primero en T21.

The use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) can transform production and logistics in Mexico, as it will allow for improving, simplifying and optimizing processes, in order to trigger the country’s economic growth , although there are challenges to enhance this tool, such as investment, regulation and government support, considered Álvaro Echeverría, CEO of SimpliRoute , a last-mile logistics optimization platform.

The country has made progress in adopting AI in physical operations, with 50% of operations leaders indicating its widespread use in their organizations, however, the industry continues to lag behind when compared to other markets, due to the lack of a regulatory framework and greater government attention.

According to the consulting firm Mordor Intelligence , the cargo and logistics market is estimated at 136.11 billion dollars (mdd) for this year, with a growth projection of up to 171.40 billion dollars in 2029, at a compound annual rate of 4.72 percent.

He also highlighted that the growth in transportation services has strengthened the competitiveness of Mexico’s exports, which in 2022 reached 590.93 billion dollars .

Given this scenario, the challenge is to overcome some challenges, such as the lack of investment and the absence of a clear focus on the part of the government, which is why a long-term vision is required that promotes innovation and technological development in the country, with regulations that guarantee the ethical and safe use of Artificial Intelligence.

“Mexico needs a robust regulatory framework that addresses data security and privacy in order to foster trust in technology and attract investors,” Echeverría stressed, adding that “the adoption of AI can transform logistics in Mexico by improving inventory management, optimizing delivery routes and estimating sales demand.”

The SimpliRoute specialist pointed out in a statement that companies must collaborate with recognized suppliers and train their staff to counteract the risks that come with the implementation of AI, which include data security and the lack of specialized human capital .

He also indicated that the Mexican government would have to work together with local producers and manufacturers to establish a sustainable practice with the use of technology , which in addition to helping to consolidate our country as a competitive player in the context of the relocation of production lines ( nearshoring ), would allow for reducing costs and increasing efficiency.

According to a Samsara study , 94% of operations leaders believe it is necessary to invest in AI solutions to stay competitive, and 87% of organizations plan to increase their investment in AI in the next 12 months, which is crucial to meet the demands of the logistics sector .

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El cargo Artificial Intelligence Could Boost the Logistics Sector in Mexico apareció primero en T21.