By January 2025, the Timely Indicator of Economic Activity (IOAE), prepared by the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) , anticipated a 1.8% increase in Mexican economic activity at an annual rate, which would reflect an increase specifically in trade .
According to the Inegi report, the IOAE also estimated a monthly increase of 0.1% in that period.
Tertiary activities, which include services such as trade, transport and communications, education and health, are also expected to increase by 2.8% at an annual rate for the first month of 2025.
On a monthly basis, a 0.1% increase is estimated in the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE) , as well as in secondary and tertiary activities, for January of this year.
The IOAE allows for timely econometric estimates of the evolution of the Global Indicator of Economic Activity, as well as secondary and tertiary activities, according to Inegi.
These figures come after the National Consumer Price Index (INPC) , which measures the variation in the prices of a basket of goods and services, stood at 3.59% annually in January 2025, from 4.21% in December 2024.
The performance of the first month of 2025 thus represented the lowest level since February 2021, with which inflation in Mexico also recorded three months of decline .
They also come to light after the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) announced that it had lowered its interest rate by 50 basis points on February 6, leaving it at 9.5 percent .
Economic activity in Mexico faces various risks associated with inflation, which could weaken domestic consumption and cause a slowdown in the construction sector, estimated the Monex Financial Group .
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